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Dunning-Kruger in voters

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Unsurprisingly, D-K appears to happen there, because why wouldn’t it?

https://www.psypost.org/people-with-the-least-political-knowledge-tend-to-be-the-most-overconfident-in-their-grasp-of-facts/

“New research published in the Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied suggests that people often overestimate their understanding of political facts. This tendency to be overconfident appears most common among individuals who actually know the least about politics and those who lean conservative. The findings provide evidence that psychological traits, like a desire for quick and definitive answers, help explain why some voters struggle to accurately judge their own political knowledge.”

52 minutes ago, swansont said:

Unsurprisingly, D-K appears to happen there, because why wouldn’t it?

At this point in life, I am convinced that this is the essence of the human condition.

7 hours ago, swansont said:

The findings provide evidence that psychological traits, like a desire for quick and definitive answers, help explain why some voters struggle to accurately judge their own political knowledge.”

I've learned to read my audience when talking political policy. There's a point where their eyes literally unfocus when they realize my answers aren't quick and pithy enough for them to remember, much less influence them. You can see them give up on understanding as they start cobbling up a response that involves Biden or Obama.

7 hours ago, Mordred said:

Unfortunately I would have to agree with you.

why do you have to?

does the reality depicts the different conclusion than what you want, why

***************************************

anyway, I think voting itself is NOT efficacious. the forum administration will just prevent themself from some various ideas. However, this does not mean that those ideas (which someone do not want even to hear ) were unavailable. Simply expelling someone's ideas. Yeah I remember at my BSc one physicist was saying that a professor in medicine had taken a nobel prize because the administration supposed that that was a novelty in Science. But when they were to be able to perfectly say that professors in medcine newly heard the theorem, that was surely not the new (i.e. not novel) in mathematics.

I am afraid. I predict , because of such unrealistic approaches, English society will lose their everything in future.

Edited by ahmet

9 hours ago, CharonY said:

At this point in life, I am convinced that this is the essence of the human condition.

"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts."

- Bertrand Russell

2 hours ago, TheVat said:

"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts."

- Bertrand Russell

Yeats expressed the danger of this tendency in human affairs with: “The best lack all conviction while the worst are full of passionate intensity.”

(And we have our present day rough beast slouching toward Bethlehem, but that’s another subject.)

Edited by exchemist

3 hours ago, TheVat said:

and wiser people so full of doubts."

Actually I think that is a good thing, as this is why they are wiser in the first place. That being said, the doubt should not be a reason not do anything. Instead, it should be an incentive to build error-correction measures into their actions.

That being said, it is also clear that the simple story usually wins out, as we generally are not well equipped to deal with complexity.

  • Author
9 hours ago, ahmet said:

anyway, I think voting itself is NOT efficacious. the forum administration will just prevent themself from some various ideas. However, this does not mean that those ideas (which someone do not want even to hear ) were unavailable. Simply expelling someone's ideas.

On the contrary, it’s not that we don’t want to hear ideas, it’s that we don’t want to hear the same idea repeated over and over again with no regard for criticism of that idea.

Most people suffer from the occam's razor effect, the simplest explanation, that I agree with is the correct one.

Herd intelligence depends on it.

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