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toucana

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Everything posted by toucana

  1. Almost five years ago in October 2020, Mother Jones published a lengthy article by writer and film maker Leland Nally which makes fascinating re-reading in the light of the most recent political arguments within MAGA over the ‘Epstein Files’. https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2020/10/i-called-everyone-in-jeffrey-epsteins-little-black-book/ In the article the author tells the story of how he obtained a copy of Jeffrey Epstein’s ‘little black book’, parts of which first surfaced on the now defunct Gawker website in 2015. It’s a 97 page contact book containing some 1571 names in all, with roughly 5,000 phone numbers, and several thousands of email addresses and home addresses. Having obtained an unredacted PDF copy via 8chan, Leland Nally then sat down and systematically began dialling phone numbers, one after another, and documented the results Many of the numbers were dead, others had changed hands, and some answered but hung up the moment they realised the caller was a journalist. A good few of the people who answered were astonished to discover that their contact details were in Epstein’s black book - they claimed that they either barely knew the man, or had only ever interacted with his close friend and confidante Ghislaine Maxwell. Epstein and his confidante Maxwell apparently ‘collected‘ people in the same way that a lepidopterist collects butterflies. By far the most sinister and revealing aspect of this tale however, is what one of Epstein’s previously unknown sexual assault victims (referred to only as ‘Julie’) disclosed about his taste in literature: The book in question was in fact just the first of an entire series of over a dozen similar books, and a film spin-off a.k.a ‘The Real Gone Girls’ released in 1970. https://www.goodreads.com/series/211187-the-man-from-o-r-g-y Jeffrey Epstein it seems had the box-set, and used it as a life guide.
  2. There is a useful YT video by blancolirio (Juan Browne) which includes a sequence from another video by ‘Just Planes’ showing a normal Boeing 787-8 Dreamliner take-off as seen by a cockpit camera mounted directly behind the pilots. The clip shows the First Officer co-pilot flying the plane in the RH seat, with the Chief Officer monitoring the take-off from the the LH seat - which matches the scenario of the AI-171 incident. The clip begins at 6:50 elapsed in the YT video, and you can see the PIC (pilot in charge) reaching for the switch to retract the landing gear at 9:04 once a positive climb rate has been confirmed by the FO. That switch is nowhere near the fuel cut-off switches below the throttle levers. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wA_UZeHZwSw
  3. One interesting detail mentioned in the report is that the investigation team had to rely on a ‘Golden Chassis’ device to read out the data stored on a heavily damaged ‘black box’. https://www.ndtvprofit.com/nation/ai-plane-crash-us-golden-chassis-helped-aaib-download-raw-data-from-black-box The Boeing 787-8 carries two Enhanced Airborne Flight Recorders (EAFR) each of which records both the flight data inputs, and the audio from the cockpit voice recorder (CVR) system. One unit is mounted in an equipment bay at the front of the plane, and the other is in the aft section. Both EAFR units were recovered, but both were found to be seriously damaged. The aft unit in particular was completely unreadable owing to severe impact and fire damage. The AAIB team managed to download the data from the forward unit by breaking open the crash protection module (CPM) and transplanting the memory card into an identical ‘Golden Chassis’ unit i.e. a write-protected data-recovery jig.
  4. The 15 page AAIB preliminary report is now available and confirms that the data and CVR systems show that the fuel cutoff switches for both engines were toggled to the CUT position barely 4 seconds after take-off: https://aaib.gov.in/What's%20New%20Assets/Preliminary%20Report%20VT-ANB.pdf The data then indicates that both switches were toggled back on, which relit both engines, but the engines were unable to develop enough thrust in time to prevent the crash.
  5. The Air India flight 171 crash on 12 June which killed 241 passengers and crew 32 seconds after take-off from Ahmedabad airport in India was related to the fuel cut-off switches according to the Air Current website. https://theaircurrent.com/aviation-safety/ai171-investigation-fuel-control-switches/ The WSJ and Reuters are reporting the same sources and findings from a preliminary report as well. According to these reports, both fuel cut-off switches were found in the CUT position, which should be an impossible scenario if the crew had been following SOP. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MD64uYK926o Even if one engine had failed on rotation as the plane took off, SOP dictates that the crew would continue to fly the plane up to a pre-determined safe ‘one engine out' altitude before attempting to run any check-lists, switching fuel feeds on and off, or attempting any engine restart procedures. The switches themselves have physical guards, and spring-loaded detentes to prevent accidental mis-operation.
  6. Around 62% of China’s electricity still comes from coal fired power stations - and they are the world’s largest electricity producer too, producing around 8.534 TWh of electricity, or roughly 30% of the world’s entire output. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electricity_sector_in_China The Chinese were using steam-engines for mainline passenger train services and freight haulage all the way up until 2005, and they still possess the fourth largest coal reserves in the world. So they have no shortage of fossil fuels. As of 2023 China’s total installed generating capacity was 2.92 TW, of which 1.26 TW was renewable (376 GW wind power and 425GW from solar power). They also possess very large hydroelectric resources as well. One of the larger geographical problems facing China however is a mismatch between the location of these energy resources, and the locations of their fast growing industrial centres where the power is most needed - which is in the east (Shanghai-Zhejiang) and the deep south (Guangdong, Fujian). Many of China’s coal-fields are located in the north-eastern provinces up near the borders with North Korea and Russia, in what used to be known as Manchuria - nowadays the provinces Heilongjiang, Jilin, Liaoning. Much of China’s hydroelectric power resources by contrast are buried in the remote mountains of far south-western provinces like Sichuan, Yunnan and in Tibet. The famous Three Gorges Dam on the Yangtze River is located near Yi Chang in the central province of Hubei - still a very long way from Shanghai, Shenzen and Fuzhou. China has previously made pledges to achieve peak coal consumption by 2030, and carbon neutrality by 2060 in accordance with the Paris climate accord of 2020. Whether that is achievable or not remains to be seen. In 2023, The Economist wrote:
  7. Meanwhile, in the wake of the catastrophic flooding in Kerr County Texas on 4th July that has claimed the lives of 80 people, including 21 children, with another 11 still missing from Camp Mystic - a Christian summer camp for girls - there have been recriminations from local Texas officials over the quality of the weather forecasting supplied by the NWS (National Weather Service) in advance of the intense rain storms https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/doge-nws-cuts-texas-flood-b2783357.html Mother Jones and other sources however report: https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2025/07/tragedy-strikes-texas-and-some-experts-blame-trump-cuts-for-devastation/
  8. Out of curiosity I looked up the text of Genesis 1:26 in the Septuagint version which is a very early translation of the Hebrew Tanakh into Koine Greek. According to tradition this translation was done at Alexandria Egypt c.250 BC by a panel of 70 scholars - (hence the name Septuagint) - at the behest of Ptolemy II Philadelphus. At a time when few Jewish people could actually read classical Hebrew scriptures, this was an important and highly influential rendering of the Tanakh in the pre-Christian era. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Septuagint Here is what the Koine Greek rendering of Genesis 1:26 in the Septuagint says: which translates as: The interesting detail here is the use of the Greek word εἰκόνα which I think comes from a verb εικονίξω meaning “to mould into the form of”: i.e. it invokes the idea of a three-dimensional sculpture, like a bronze statue, and not a two dimensional image. The Greek word ὁμοίωσιν translated as ‘likeness’ usually equates to the Latin word similis - as in the derived word simulacrum which means an imperfect imitation, notably in the case of ancient Greek statues which were often made with subtly distorted dimensions to correct for the perspectival effect induced by viewing statues mounted on a plinth from below.
  9. Nope - not quite. The problem the OP is alluding to is known as the ‘Cumulative Audience Paradox’ in speculative philosophical writing about time travel. In this case the presumption is that if a time machine were to be invented at a particular time and place - e.g. London in July 2025, then many curious time tourists from the future - in say 2075, or from any other era beyond that, might want to travel back in time to witness that historic moment of invention, which implies that all those myriads of people would somehow be present in the laboratory or test hangar at the exact moment when the time machine was fired up for the first time in July 2025. The issue that you refer to is different one that was neatly described in chapter 9 of the novel ‘Up The Line’ by Robert Silverberg : Your suggestion offers one possible solution to this potential paradox of cloning entities, by saying that the time travellers could only return to their original temporal point of departure
  10. America has an excellent record of rehabilitating criminals. Only last year they elected a guy with 34 felony convictions for fraud as their new president - same guy also happens to be an adjudicated rapist and insurrectionist.
  11. This Silverberg novel explores two other amusing temporal paradoxes that are of some interest, starting in chapter 11, where trainee Time Couriers are being given a lecture on the complexities of time tourism: The lecturer explains that an illegal time-traveller had poisoned Jesus at the age of 11, which meant Christianity had never come into being. The Roman empire had converted to another sect of Judaism and then been destroyed by the rise of a totalitarian Turkish regime that subsequently controlled the whole world. To rectify the problem, the Time Patrol had to monitor the time-line of Jesus, obtain proof of the crime, obtain a conviction, then travel back in time to intercept the poisoner just before he set off to poison Jesus and execute him thereby editing his crime out of the timeline. One of the trainees however is unhappy with this explanation: The lecturer explains that this would constitute the ‘Ultimate Paradox” in which time travel becomes its own negation. To counter this problem, philosophically speaking you then have to invoke a subsidiary paradox called the “Paradox of Transit Displacement’ whereby time travellers who are already ‘up the line’ and encapsulated in a detached bubble of their own ‘now time’ are immune to the transformations of paradox in the main continuum.
  12. This paradox was foreseen in some detail in a Sci-Fi novel called ‘Up The Line’ by American author Robert Silverberg which was first published in 1969. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Up_the_Line In another example, a time-travel tour guide called Jud Elliot II takes a party back to Baton Rouge Louisiana in September 1935 to witness the assassination of a local demagogue called Huey Long, but has to negotiate the complexities of placing his tourists in a vantage point that doesn’t interact with four other parties of visitors from the future, each accompanied by instances of himself during previous tour visits.
  13. The murder of two firefighters in Coeur d’Alene Idaho on Sunday 29 June appears to be linked to a significant anniversary of an incident that occurred exactly 24 years earlier involving property that once belonged to a violent neo-Nazi white supremacist hate group called Aryan Nations. https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/us-news/aryan-nations-behind-coeur-d-alene-idaho-shooting-theories-emerge-amid-ongoing-manhunt-101751250931648.html The back-story here is that Aryan Nations was formerly based in a 20 acre security compound of buildings near Hayden Lake Idaho which is just a few miles from Canfield Mountain in Coeur d’Alene where the most recent shootings took place. Aryan Nations lost control of their HQ at Hayden Lake following a court case in 2000 which was brought with the help of the Southern Poverty Law Centre after an incident in 1998 when Aryan Nations security staff shot at, beat up, and threatened to murder a local American Indian woman Victoria Keenan and her son Jason. https://www.splcenter.org/resources/reports/victoria-keenan-discusses-run-aryan-nations/ Control of the land passed to the families of the victims as part of $6.3 million court-ordered restitution and damages settlement after Aryan Nations went bankrupt. The land subsequently became part of a Peace Park, and the Coeur d’Alene fire-department were allowed to to use the area for training purposes. On 29 June 2001 the abandoned Aryan Nations properties at Hayden Lake were burned down by local firefighters in the course of a training exercise. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aryan_Nations The deceased suspect subsequently identified on Monday as 20 y/o Wess Roley was a local resident who once hoped to become a firemen himself. According to US social media his family strongly supported the Trump/Maga agenda. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jul/01/idaho-firefighter-attack-gunman On Sunday 29 June 2025 Wess Roley deliberately set a brush fire on Canfield Mountain to lure firefighters to the area, then opened fire on them, killing two battalion chiefs and wounding nine others before being found dead himself after a prolonged firefight with SWAT team responders.
  14. As of Monday 30 June The US Department of Defense will no longer provide satellite weather data leaving hurricane forecasters without crucial information about storms as peak hurricane season looms in the Atlantic. https://www.npr.org/2025/06/28/nx-s1-5446120/defense-department-cuts-hurricane-ice-weather-satellite The message said: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jun/28/noaa-cuts-hurricane-forecasting-climate Due to their unique characteristics and ability to map the entire world twice a day with extremely high resolution, the three DMSP satellites are a primary source of information for scientists to monitor Arctic sea ice and hurricane development. The DMSP partners with NOAA to make weather data collected from the satellites publicly available. The loss of DMSP comes as NOAA’s weather and climate monitoring services have become critically understaffed this year as Donald Trump’s so-called “department of government efficiency” (Doge) initiative has instilled draconian cuts to federal environmental programs. Some sources suggest that cybersecurity concerns over sharing high-resolution data derived from military satellite systems with civilian researchers may also be in play as well. A current NOAA scientist who wishes to remain anonymous for fear of retaliation said that the action to halt the DMSP, when taken in context with other recent moves by the Trump administration, amounted to “a systematic destruction of science”. Scientists said the decision to halt the DMSP will result in immediately degraded hurricane forecasts during what is expected to be an above-average season as well as a gap in monitoring sea ice – just as Arctic sea ice is hitting new record lows.
  15. A CNN report on the military briefing given to US lawmakers on Thursday by the JCS chair Gen. Dan Caine says the US military did not even attempt to use bunker-buster bombs on the Isfahan site, because the storage facility was buried too deep underground for the GBU-57 weapons to be effective. https://edition.cnn.com/2025/06/27/politics/bunker-buster-bomb-isfahan-iran The Isfahan site which was one of 4 Iranian nuclear sites hit by the US last weekend was attacked with Tomahawk cruise missiles instead, which only destroyed buildings on the surface. What this means is that Iran most likely still has access to most of the 408Kg of highly enriched Uranium it possessed prior to the attack - about enough to make six Hiroshima size (15 Kiloton) atomic weapons. So what exactly was the point ?
  16. According to a recent article in the New York Times, US military planners felt that President Trump himself posed one of the biggest opsec threats to any successful outcome of a military attack on Iran’s nuclear bunker facilities because of his incessant rant-posting on social media ahead of the decision to send in the bombers on Saturday night. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/22/us/politics/trump-iran-decision-strikes.html Trump’s vacillating bluster about whether he might or might not green-light such an attack, coupled with his histrionic demands on Truth Social on Monday 16 June that Iranians should “immediately evacuate Tehran” (a capital city with a population of almost 10 million people) all gave the Iranian leadership plenty of warning, and enough time to disperse their holdings of highly enriched uranium to other locations. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/6/17/trump-asks-tehran-residents-to-evacuate-immediately-but-can-they A well-sourced article in the Financial Times claims that Iran possesses a total stockpile of around 8,400Kg of enriched uranium, most of which is only enriched to low levels consistent with a civilian power program, with about 408Kg or 5% of that stockpile processed to a more highly enriched level. https://www.ft.com/content/0808eeb8-341c-4a4e-8ccf-0db07febef91 Rafael Grossi the director-general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, has said that the Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araghchi sent a letter to the IAEA on June 13 warning that Iran would “adopt special measures to protect our nuclear equipment and materials”. The UN nuclear wtachdog’s inspectors have been unable to visit the plants since then. On Thursday Rafael Grossi told French Radio that Iran’s nuclear program had “suffered enormous damage”, though he also said that claims of its complete destruction were “overblown”.
  17. Right now DT is having a hissy fit and using the F-word in front of reporters because his chances of receiving a long-cherished Nobel Peace Prize are vanishing out of the window faster than a wet dream, with each new exchange of missiles. https://thehill.com/homenews/5364177-pakistan-nominates-trump-for-nobel-peace-prize-then-condemns-strikes-on-iran/ Last Saturday Islamabad formally announced that it was nominating Trump for a Nobel Peace Prize for his supposed role in defusing the recent confrontation between Pakistan and India - only to do a complete volte-face the next day on on Sunday when Trump sent US bombers in to bomb Iran’s nuclear bunkers. Not the best look for a wannabe Nobel Laureate.
  18. Well that 'ceasefire' lasted all of two hours - assuming it ever really existed at all - other than as a figment of president Trump's diseased imagination. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cn7ze4vmk2pt
  19. “Move fast and break things” has a rather long history in the story of America’s industrial development - not least in the field of automobile production. There is an entertaining but probably apocryphal story that back in the year of 1895, the only two automobiles in the entire state of Ohio managed to collide with each other https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/only-two-cars-ohio-crashed-1895/ That story is probably untrue, but a better founded one says the first automobile accident ever recorded in the US did happen in Ohio City in 1891, when inventor James Lambert’s single cylinder vehicle hit a tree root and smashed into a hitching post. Some historians note this mishap was predated by some 20 years by an accident in Dublin Ireland in 1869 when astronomer and naturalist Mary Ward became the first person to be killed in an automobile accident. https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2019/08/pioneering-female-scientist-was-first-car-crash-victim/597037/ That vehicle however was steam-powered.
  20. Breaking >>> BBC NewsTrump says US has bombed Fordo nuclear plant in attack on...Earlier, Iran's foreign minister warned against US involvement in the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran saying it would be "very very dangerous".
  21. The New York Times is reporting that multiple American B2 stealth bombers are being flown westwards from Whiteman AFB base Missouri out over the Pacific towards Guam, en route to the Middle-East. https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06/21/world/iran-israel-trump The B2 bombers are the only US aircraft large enough to carry the GBU-57 or ‘Massive Ordnance Penetrator’ (MOP), a 20’ long weapon weighing 30,000 lbs which is the largest conventional bomb in the world, and the only specialised deep bunker-busting bomb capable of destroying the underground Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow. The same sources say that Israeli forces are carrying out intensive airstrikes in the Ahvaz region of southwestern Iran to take out missile launchers and air-defence radars along the flight path that would be used by U.S warplanes on their way to attack Fordow.
  22. toucana replied to iNow's topic in Politics
    “It may have won WW2, but it lost the battle of WD40 !” - (Steve Colbert)
  23. President Trump has abruptly left the G7 summit in Calgary citing “Big stuff’ to attend to back in Washington, and denying French president Macron’s suggestion that it was in connection with overseeing Middle-East ceasefire negotiations. https://apnews.com/article/g7-summit-canada-trump-departure-ukraine-6c86a0a8463603c9b1a3e950382af0a2 A large formation of United States Airforce aerial refuelling aircraft including over two dozen KC-135 Stratotankers and KC-46 Pegasus tankers was spotted travelling eastbound from USA to Europe on Sunday night https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/huge-number-of-u-s-refuelling-aircraft-cross-the-atlantic/ Some Israeli news outlets are now claiming that president Trump will shortly join Israel’s attack on Iran with the specific intent of destroying the Iranian nuclear facility at Fordow which is located in deep underground bunkers in mountains near Qom - bunkers which Israeli forces lack the specialised munitions to attack. https://edition.cnn.com/2025/06/17/politics/trump-iran-israel-conflict-g7 It would appear that president Trump and his advisers are pondering the fateful step of directly helping Israel to destroy Iran’s nuclear program - a move that many leading MAGA figures will be highly critical of because they see it as a repudiation of their cherished “America First” principles, and yet another unwanted involvement in a Middle-East war.
  24. The fact remains that the key swing state of Michigan was delivered into Republican hands, and along with it the presidency - into the hands of Donald Trump. The Muslim protest voters in Dearborn weren’t alone of course. There were also the “Latinas for Trump” movement who mobilised large numbers of Hispanic voters to turn out for Trump as well. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jun/09/florida-republicans-criticize-trump-immigration-arrests Well guess guess what ? - according to social media - as of 13 June "Latinos for Trump" leader Hector Luis Valdes Cocho, was picked up by ICE and is now in a detention center waiting to be deported https://www.facebook.com/USdems/posts/latinos-for-trump-leader-hector-luis-valdes-cocho-was-picked-up-by-ice-and-is-no/1150518430453886/ All of which feeds into my point that adopting a ‘neutral’ POV, or engaging in wishful-thinking protest votes when democracy itself is facing an existential threat is simply not an option.
  25. Did you really miss the entire discussion about role of the muslim activists in Dearborn Michigan who campaigned ferociously for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election on an “Abandon Harris” ticket ? They apparently did so because they blamed Harris for 'collusion', they thought Trump would end the Gaza conflict more quickly, and believed that conservative Republican values’ were somehow closer to those of Islam - and they effectively delivered the entire swing state of Michigan to Trump by doing so We had an entire thread called “The Gaza Riviera” in this sub-forum just a couple of months ago in February which went into this in some detail. This was the news story in the Jewish Chronicle which documented that story: https://www.thejc.com/news/usa/trump-voting-muslim-leaders-in-us-disappointed-by-his-pro-israel-cabinet-choices-fe0x4jb and here is what I wrote about it in that thread: I get the impression that you don't really follow the news in much detail.

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