iNow

Basically what they did to Obama which led to these last horrible 4 years

Probably the enslaved world, too

Michigan is likely, but still too close to call. 90% reporting, over 5 Million votes cast/counted, and Biden is only up by about 10 Thousand. Mail-in votes still being counted and are likely to skew left nationwide. That is promising, but may not be enough. Has been much closer than many people'd hoped, and the Senate is likely to remain red / prevent anything meaningful from passing no matter who wins prez. Nevada too close to call, too

Most people are atheist about over 99% of the gods humans have invented throughout history. Some just choose to randomly still believe in one over all of the countless others, usually based on little more than where they happened to be born and what their parents happened to believe and teach them.

Even after all these years, I still find myself surprised at just how ignorant and racist and proud of it the American electorate remains. Trump may not even need to steal this election. Millions upon millions upon millions of Americans are gladly handing it to him voluntarily.

Interesting hypothesis and evidence is certainly suggestive of him being positive for covid, but despite minimal coverage in the news, he did campaign in both Michigan and Pennsylvania today for a total of 4 event (which seems to refute the idea... but I also wouldn’t put it passed this administration to keep campaigning even after a positive test).

I tend to share that hope, but alas... While it’s a bit cliché, hope is not a strategy. He needs to win first, though. Until then, this is all academic.

Are you asking why, if Biden wins, he cannot do more before inauguration while he’s only president-elect? On another note, I’m not totally convinced Trump will stop holding rallies if he loses, but again... that’s not on-topic.

Moving aside from semantics, the fact that you need to so tightly restrict and constrain the definition for your point to hold suggests maybe your point is a bit weak. Presidents can support or oppose or influence a great many things even if there is no explicit policy underlying them. The change still happens due solely to who the president is and what they represent.

Agreed

Lol. Have you not been watching these last 5 years? If Trump loses, I think these next 2 months are going to be extremely dangerous, but that’s not the topic of this thread. This one is about covid responses.

If Biden wins, he would lack any power to do those things until after inauguration in January. At best, he could use rhetoric and oratory to convince localities to do these things on their own, but he’s been doing that already throughout the campaign. Election Day itself doesn’t change much until powers are officially transferred. Also, post Trump is a misnomer. He will still very much remain part of the conversation, may run again in 2024, and has given a template for other republicans to run using the same style and approach that generates so much enthusiasm amongst the base.

Anticipate nationwide mask mandate, enforced social distancing in all federally controlled locations (and likely state controlled locations next), massively scaled up testing, additional funding for POE to hospitals and schools, and increased focus on contact tracing and proactive alerts to those conformed as being in close contact with contagious individuals.

Yeah. This whole “Democrats use identity politics” line rings hollow for me as we see identity being almost the sole driver of Republican turnout. It’s probably time to update that stale talking point, JCM.

Justice is what love looks like in public

There are a million reasons they may not have responded. Every situation is different. Perhaps try calling instead.

When someone "proactively considers" something my BS alarms go off

No, all you know is that they have not responded. Lack of response should not be interpreted as implicit permission.

While it wouldn't surprise me if true, it's important to acknowledge that the security analysts at Twitter itself are disputing this claim. They shared in response to this story that they implemented several additional security measures and protocols from the backend last year for multiple high-profile users like Trump. They're IMO in the best position to confirm/deny these types of claims, though I do acknowledge they have a vested interest in protecting their own reputation for privacy and security... so that may play a role in their public statements. Perhaps what's worse for our western world, however, is that it now matters so very much what might happen to billions of us and our livelihoods when one human being happens to gain access to a keyboard normally used by another one human being... a keyboard that can only share 280 characters at a time. Seems rather fragile that so many things could so easily topple all because of such a slight change on such a tiny single thread in the broader cultural fabric.

An insightful math wizard with a clarity of thought and economy of language who used to regularly post here. @ajb also had one of the coolest doctors as his avatar

Experience and knowledge

I think your model is about as good as the OPs. I also think it’s closer than you suggest. Biden is up in polls nationally, but we don’t vote nationally. We vote state by state, and our votes aren’t even what matter. What matters is how electors in the electoral college act when they meet on December 14.

Sure. I was short. I can accept your neg rep. That said, my central point remains: Why should we bother with your remedial model here when models from others (like FiveThirtyEight, whom you cited yourself) are far more informed, advanced, inclusive, and accurate? Stuff like what? You put this into the Politics forum. Had you put into Computer Science instead then my response would have been much different.

Who cares?

You're mistakenly conflating the act of taking a measurement (either with equipment or human senses) with the accuracy of eye-witness testimony (itself obviously flawed due to the plastic nature of memory and how they get rewritten slightly every single time we access them). They're not the same. They are different in important ways. Your comment does not apply here.