Everything posted by iNow
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Comparing Corona Virus Success Stories with Abysmal Failures
I tend to share that hope, but alas... While it’s a bit cliché, hope is not a strategy. He needs to win first, though. Until then, this is all academic.
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Comparing Corona Virus Success Stories with Abysmal Failures
Are you asking why, if Biden wins, he cannot do more before inauguration while he’s only president-elect? On another note, I’m not totally convinced Trump will stop holding rallies if he loses, but again... that’s not on-topic.
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Comparing Corona Virus Success Stories with Abysmal Failures
Moving aside from semantics, the fact that you need to so tightly restrict and constrain the definition for your point to hold suggests maybe your point is a bit weak. Presidents can support or oppose or influence a great many things even if there is no explicit policy underlying them. The change still happens due solely to who the president is and what they represent.
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How Trump Could Steal The Election
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Comparing Corona Virus Success Stories with Abysmal Failures
Lol. Have you not been watching these last 5 years? If Trump loses, I think these next 2 months are going to be extremely dangerous, but that’s not the topic of this thread. This one is about covid responses.
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Comparing Corona Virus Success Stories with Abysmal Failures
If Biden wins, he would lack any power to do those things until after inauguration in January. At best, he could use rhetoric and oratory to convince localities to do these things on their own, but he’s been doing that already throughout the campaign. Election Day itself doesn’t change much until powers are officially transferred. Also, post Trump is a misnomer. He will still very much remain part of the conversation, may run again in 2024, and has given a template for other republicans to run using the same style and approach that generates so much enthusiasm amongst the base.
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Comparing Corona Virus Success Stories with Abysmal Failures
Anticipate nationwide mask mandate, enforced social distancing in all federally controlled locations (and likely state controlled locations next), massively scaled up testing, additional funding for POE to hospitals and schools, and increased focus on contact tracing and proactive alerts to those conformed as being in close contact with contagious individuals.
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U.S. presidential election modelling
Yeah. This whole “Democrats use identity politics” line rings hollow for me as we see identity being almost the sole driver of Republican turnout. It’s probably time to update that stale talking point, JCM.
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Today I Learned
Justice is what love looks like in public
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Rights & Permissions : what to do if they do not respond?
There are a million reasons they may not have responded. Every situation is different. Perhaps try calling instead.
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Trump's Mind Can Be Guessed in Seven Tries. Tops
When someone "proactively considers" something my BS alarms go off
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Rights & Permissions : what to do if they do not respond?
No, all you know is that they have not responded. Lack of response should not be interpreted as implicit permission.
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Trump's Mind Can Be Guessed in Seven Tries. Tops
While it wouldn't surprise me if true, it's important to acknowledge that the security analysts at Twitter itself are disputing this claim. They shared in response to this story that they implemented several additional security measures and protocols from the backend last year for multiple high-profile users like Trump. They're IMO in the best position to confirm/deny these types of claims, though I do acknowledge they have a vested interest in protecting their own reputation for privacy and security... so that may play a role in their public statements. Perhaps what's worse for our western world, however, is that it now matters so very much what might happen to billions of us and our livelihoods when one human being happens to gain access to a keyboard normally used by another one human being... a keyboard that can only share 280 characters at a time. Seems rather fragile that so many things could so easily topple all because of such a slight change on such a tiny single thread in the broader cultural fabric.
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The Official "Introduce Yourself" Thread
An insightful math wizard with a clarity of thought and economy of language who used to regularly post here. @ajb also had one of the coolest doctors as his avatar
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U.S. presidential election modelling
Experience and knowledge
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U.S. presidential election modelling
I think your model is about as good as the OPs. I also think it’s closer than you suggest. Biden is up in polls nationally, but we don’t vote nationally. We vote state by state, and our votes aren’t even what matter. What matters is how electors in the electoral college act when they meet on December 14.
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U.S. presidential election modelling
Sure. I was short. I can accept your neg rep. That said, my central point remains: Why should we bother with your remedial model here when models from others (like FiveThirtyEight, whom you cited yourself) are far more informed, advanced, inclusive, and accurate? Stuff like what? You put this into the Politics forum. Had you put into Computer Science instead then my response would have been much different.
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U.S. presidential election modelling
Who cares?
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The Schrödinger's cat thought experiment proves there is no God
You're mistakenly conflating the act of taking a measurement (either with equipment or human senses) with the accuracy of eye-witness testimony (itself obviously flawed due to the plastic nature of memory and how they get rewritten slightly every single time we access them). They're not the same. They are different in important ways. Your comment does not apply here.
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The Schrödinger's cat thought experiment proves there is no God
This is basically a reformulation of the problem of evil https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Problem_of_evil This argument is of the form modus tollens, and is logically valid: If its premises are true, the conclusion follows of necessity. To show that the first premise is plausible, subsequent versions tend to expand on it, such as this modern example:[2] Both of these arguments are understood to be presenting two forms of the 'logical' problem of evil. <...> A version by William L. Rowe: There exist instances of intense suffering which an omnipotent, omniscient being could have prevented without thereby losing some greater good or permitting some evil equally bad or worse. An omniscient, wholly good being would prevent the occurrence of any intense suffering it could, unless it could not do so without thereby losing some greater good or permitting some evil equally bad or worse. (Therefore) There does not exist an omnipotent, omniscient, wholly good being.[2] Another by Paul Draper: Gratuitous evils exist. The hypothesis of indifference, i.e., that if there are supernatural beings they are indifferent to gratuitous evils, is a better explanation for (1) than theism. Therefore, evidence prefers that no god, as commonly understood by theists, exists.
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Why is there no forum for (insert field here)?
There's also the counter-argument that trying to navigate someone else's folder structure makes using the site LESS enjoyable and convenient. I, for one, hate trying to find a file in a folder hierarchy someone else created... I waste more time than I would if everything were just dumped into a single catch-all bucket en masse
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Why is there no forum for (insert field here)?
It still cracks me up when I see it
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Why is there no forum for (insert field here)?
Lol. I forgot about that one
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What are you listening to right now?
After seeing Kanye as a choice on my US presidential ballot today, I decided to celebrate the best thing he ever did: But then I heard this and it’s. So. Much. Better
- What is the 3rd dimension?