wvbig Posted September 8, 2008 Author Share Posted September 8, 2008 I plotted the sighting/evidence reports for my state I believed to be most credible & least likely to be misidentifications of bears, from the 3 biggest report databases. Then if I could plot a path of several similar reports along a timeline, I assumed all of those were from the same creature. This gave me a state estimate of 45-50 creatures. Then I multiplied that by 50 & doubled that figure to take into account Canada. Some criticized me for not adding some because some new ones are surely born each year. But in my opinion, if you're going to assume some are born each year, you also have to assume that some die each year. And without specific data to determine either a birth or a mortality rate, I decided that they offset one another & made no additions for new births or subtractions for deaths. I personally think the population is on the lower end of the 4,000-6,000 estimate but I'm not as familiar with the number of Canadian reports as I am with the U.S. reports. In 2006 I decided to try to keep track of the bear sightings in my state for the next 5 years because that was when bear sightings began to sharply increase & I wanted to see if there was a similar increase in Bigfoot sightings. My reason for doing this was to try to determine the likelyhood that Bigfoot sightings in my state are the result of misidentifications of bears. So far, there has also been a sharp increase in the number of Bigfoot sightings in West Virginia. But the fascinating thing is that only about 7% of the new Bigfoot sighting reports could have been a bear. I decided on a 5 year study because it takes most people an average of 5 years to muster the courage to report a sighting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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