Everything posted by CharonY
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Common cold / typical flu dose-response study (human or animals)
I told you. First read the two papers for which I have provided references. This teaches you how to find known literature. Then, for the review, you go to the back and look at the references. These are papers that are described in the review. Take those references and search for them on pubmed. This is how you find additional literature. Then look at the older paper I referenced. Then go to pubmed (or google scholar if you prefer) and check out which newer papers have referenced that paper. This teaches you how to look for new papers which are based on previous work. Learning requires work and effort. It is not a passive process.
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The next US President. By the people who know the odds.
Doesn't that actually indicate that kids should learn more about Critical Race Theory, even if only to not to believe in such falsehoods? And it is especially funny considering that critical race theory is in part a direct refutation of the modernist race theories.
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Common cold / typical flu dose-response study (human or animals)
This is not a satisfactory effort on your end. As mentioned, there is an abundance of studies out there. If you are not even willing to read the two I provided, what makes you think that folks would be willing to sacrifice their time to do work for you?
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Common cold / typical flu dose-response study (human or animals)
Of course you can. And if you are just looking for the existence of such studies I suggest you hop on Pubmed and look for them, as there too many to list, especially if you want to include animal models. I suggest that you start with a review looking at animal models for a specific pathogen (say influenza) and then go through the references to find the work. An example is Margine et al. Pathogens 2014, 3, 845–874 For influenza in humans the oldest one I am aware of is Alford et al. Proceedings of the Society for Experimental Biology and Medicine 1966, Volume: 122 issue: 3, page(s): 800-804. Here, you can also check reference citing it (rather than those cited) in order to see who might have done similar work.
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The next US President. By the people who know the odds.
... why?
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Covid behind us? (split from Potential mass strike action in the UK)
Pandemic does not refer to severity, it refers to spread of a disease across the globe. As such it is clear that we are still very much in the pandemic and assertions that the pandemic is behind us is factually wrong. One could speculate whether the deadliest parts are behind us, but even that is difficult to ascertain. The ongoing Omicron wave has been the deadliest in many regions of the world, mostly because it infected so many people. Data also suggests that waning immunity might be an issue and if not up to date on vaccines, elderly still disproportionately die. While the death rate is still much lower among vaccinated and especially boosted individuals compared to the unvaccinated, it is not correct to assume that only the unvaccinated are going to die. On top there are the issues of post-viral infection syndromes. While these are nothing new (some folks have severe long-term issues due to influenza and other infections, for example), few infections swept in that number through the population. Research is ongoing to assess the magnitude but we are still very much in the data collecting phase. I.e. the impact of a disease is not only measured in deaths, but also overall loss of quality of life/health and it is premature to declare that things are over. After all, the expectation of an end was done in the past multiple times, but what is actually needed is an action plan going forward. I will also pre-empt some assumptions based on other endemic diseases with seasonal outbreaks by saying that COVID-19 has different characteristics, since Omicron it is circulating almost constantly at a relative high rate in the population, almost regardless of the season. There will be regional differences, but things like less time outdoors, start of school/university and so on, can favour new outbreaks (as might new variants). In contrast, we see almost no measurable circulation of flu outside the flu season, suggesting that a mix of lifestyle and immunity (vaccinated or otherwise) is capable of limiting outbreaks for most of the year.
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Mycobacterium marinum disinfectant
Ethanol is not that great for large surface contamination as the contact time required for many bacteria is on average around 20 mins, for more robust ones it could be an hour. Instruments can be submerged in it and kept for the required time, but it tends to evaporate from surfaces before quantitative sterilization. Mycobacterium species have rather robust cell hulls, which makes them more resilient than many other species. They are also somewhat acid resistant, so vinegar is unlikely going to work well.
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Common cold / typical flu dose-response study (human or animals)
There were also older studies trying to figure out whether temperature had an effect on rhinovirus infections (it did not). But I think much of the research has moved precisely due to the unfavourable effort/cost to insight ratio.
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War Games: Russia Takes Ukraine, China Takes Taiwan. US Response?
According to a report Scholz suggested a neutral status for Ukraine with guarantees from Russia and the US. Zelensky responded that Putin could not be trusted to uphold such an agreement and seemingly with good reason. Before that, in the meeting between Scholz and Putin, Putin again reiterated the one people claim of Russians, Ukrainians and Belarusians. As such his motivation does not seem to be borne out of fear of the West, but rather a desire of the creation of an USSR style Russia in his image.
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Common cold / typical flu dose-response study (human or animals)
A few things to that. Those studies usually aim to establish the minimal infectious dose and only establish limited, dose-response relationships. I.e. you can have dose escalation, but you would want to keep levels overall low and mostly monitor binary outcomes. I.e. you do not want the patients to get very sick for very obvious reasons. Another study goal can be to evaluate protective properties drugs to prevent disease and here different treatment groups would be exposed to an infectious dose of the pathogen. However, these studies are not very common a) due to the need to mitigate risk, b) are often fairly expensive, but also b) because for certain diseases somewhat decent animal models have been established that mimic human exposure and are used instead. That being said there are quite a few studies around. For influenza you can go back to at least the 60s and there are occasional updates when new variants come around, for example. For more harmless diseases these study might also exist, but are less likely to get funded, if they there is not some kind of public health interest behind them (e.g. for the development of antivirals or other drugs).
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Potential mass strike action in the UK
I think the laws are fairly strong in Canada (at least superficial they look somewhat similar to Germany, though Germany is probably a bit stronger in job security for certain parts of the public sector). That being said, I think that misconduct and incompetence are actually one of the few reasons that are grounds for dismissal. Performance might be a bit iffy, depending on how they are measured. Regarding serfdom, I may be misremembering but IIRC serfdom was on the decline well before the plague throughout Western Europe. Mostly in England, the drop in number of servile peasants does fit the timing of the black death better. Interestingly, a book (written by Mark Bailey) has specifically studied the decline of serfdom in medieval England actually called out the overemphasis of the Black Death. Conversely, in Eastern Europe serfdom increased after the the Black Death and in other parts. So it is potentially one of those things where one event had likely an impact on the other, but the precise relationship is likely somewhat more complicated than assumed, once one starts looking into it in detail.
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Strenuous exercise and reactive oxygen species, a concern?
Or ligament issues. As you mentioned, biological systems are complex and they have the annoying tendency not to work precisely as predicted.
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Strenuous exercise and reactive oxygen species, a concern?
The theoretical answer is probably yes, the practical almost certainly no. The effects of exercise are very complex and while there is some rough understanding on the macro level (e.g. on average what level of exercise seems to correlate with a certain outcome) but what is really happening mechanistically is barely understood. Pretty much the same can be said for respiration rate, generation of ROS and all the factors that may account not only for individual differences but potentially also day-to-day differences in a given person. Slept badly? It may or may not influence your metabolism in terms of ROS generation. Moreover, we also do not understand relative contribution to a given factor very well. Are exercise benefits on cardiovascular health offset by eating bacon once? How about twice? Weekly? Again, individual differences are huge and as we age, or get stressed, a lot in our physiology changes. Trying to achieve the level of desired precision with the lack of data we have got is simply put impossible. Only folks like Dr. Oz and their ilk will tell you that we have clear and definite answers to that. What we do have are rough guidelines which apply to some degree to a population with a given set of characteristics. Pretty much everything beyond that is extrapolation.
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Ai to map, plan for and disperse climate refugees?
Uh, since we all came from Africa, how is it possible that we only have fragments of what you call African DNA? Do you think our DNA goes becomes something else once we move out of a region? The way to think about it is pretty much all our DNA is shared with our African ancestors, but Eurasian populations have lost some of the diversity (bottleneck effect). While there are new alleles that are more prevalent or even exclusive to non-African populations, they are just relatively small bits of our shared genetic backbone. That is a bit problematic if the given information is not based on mainstream information and therefore makes it impossible for folks to join the dots in a correct way.
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Ai to map, plan for and disperse climate refugees?
What? Are you referring to the holocaust? There, early computers were used to facilitate the genocide. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IBM_and_the_Holocaust Not sure why switching over to some nebulous AI would make things better. Policies and global strategies matter. Tools are subservient to those and can make things better or worse. Also, I note that you keep using "AI" and "algorithm" similar to the term "magic wand". As in, it seems to magically solve the problem without exactly being clear how. And no, we just calculate something is not an explanation. It is just using different words to explain nothing. Can more data help? Sure, but it depends on exactly how we use it. But if we are not willing to either mitigate climate change or develop policies to address its impact or develop some sort of strategy to help each other, the AI might as well tell us to run in circles until we die, for all the good it will be doing.
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Strenuous exercise and reactive oxygen species, a concern?
As with virtually all biological systems an one-dimensional view is not helpful. Yes, higher metabolic rate means higher rate of ROS generation. It also means that the system needs to ramp up its antioxidative defenses to cope. How much it can do so, is dependent on many, many factors. Then if the defenses are overwhelmed and damages happen on the cellular level, you then would have to look at how much of the tissue can be repaired. And then you go even higher to the systemic level and ask about health detriment/benefit, you then need to balance out those damages with all the benefits you get from activity. Ultimately oxidative damages will accumulate, regardless of exercise level. But we also know that without exercise the risk of cardiovascular and other failures increase. Extreme exercise can be detrimental, but I suspect it is less due to oxidative damages but more to injuries and other effects of regular overexertion.
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Potential mass strike action in the UK
I do not understand the comparison with Germany, to be honest. Germany has or had fairly strong trade unions, and the strike rate is the closest there is within OECD countries to the UK (21 strike days per 1000 employees UK vs 16 Germany between 2008-2017). Compare that to US (5) or Canada (74). France is of course top of the list (118).
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Potential mass strike action in the UK
Well, to me that looks a typical distraction. Instead of negotiating for higher wages, just limit immigration? Hey here is a bad situation, let's not address it, but instead blame something else. Meanwhile, the effects of immigration on the UK labor market have been relatively small and mostly affect the segment of wages that are occupied by immigrants in the first place. https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/briefings/the-labour-market-effects-of-immigration/ In 2021 about 240k work visa were approved (which seems a bit of a far cry from the claim of unrestricted immigration, especially compared to, say, Canada). Even assuming that all of those are unskilled workers the impact on salaries would be miniscule. And this is under the most favourable assumption. Also, I thought the discussion is about essential workers. Also based on the OP, are you assuming that essential work is only (or mostly) done by unskilled and predominant immigrant workers? Because other groups appear to benefit salary-wise from immigration.
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Potential mass strike action in the UK
There is a good point in there as wage increases can increase inflation. That being said, some companies have made record profits for their shareholders and that is not in line with keeping wages flat. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-30/2021-was-best-year-for-u-s-corporation-profits-since-1950 Here you can see the profit margin of companies and compare that to the wage development. Since around 2000 there has been quite a separation of these values and after a pandemic bump employee compensation is dropping again. On the microlevel wage increases might not be ideal for certain businesses, but on the macrolevel it makes sense to push for wage increases when shareholders are having record profits. Otherwise we are just redistributing money upward.
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Chemosynthesis symbol by Astrogeomanity - The periodic table of human evolution
! Moderator Note Trashed.
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Classified Documents
I think if they do it, it is more likely to see whether there has been unauthorized access.
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The next US President. By the people who know the odds.
Statues reminding us of the atrocities? Sure. Statues celebrating those responsible for it? No. A Hitler Statues is not a good way to remember the holocaust.
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The next US President. By the people who know the odds.
I do not think that is accurate, there are big differences in ideology and approach, and especially the religious right had always used wedge issues (evolution, race etc.) to exclude critical thinking approaches. But in parallel there has been a systemic change, in which increasingly high-schools cater to grades and both, parents and students are increasingly invested in optimizing that part at the cost of more complex intellectual development. If you cannot quantify it via a simple test it is of no interest to any party (except the teacher, perhaps). Increasingly, even good students seek out accomodations in college so that they can a score boost over their peers. Highschool teachers have started to provide model answers so that the student can memorize them and so on. Academic standards are falling, grade inflation is real, and administration is more than happy with that, as long a it puts bums on a seat. Try to make them think critically and ask open questions? Student evaluations will skewer you and there will be discussions with the dean. Better hope you are tenured. Add that together with increasing anxiety and the comfort of just knowing simple facts and you have a recipe to kneecap critical thinking skills without actually actively trying to do so. Perhaps it is not as bleak as I make it sound, but the trend over the last 10 years or so is going into that direction. In part it is because much of the critical thinking development had been moved from school to college in the past, but now, especially across North America (but also elsewhere) college is seen as an investment to build a career based on degrees. Academic skills per se are taking a bit of a back seat. And to be fair, I do see their point to some degree. If you paid tens of thousands of dollars and fail to get a degree, it can financially ruin you or put you on a very bad trajectory.
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The next US President. By the people who know the odds.
I think the race issue is so deeply coded that folks reacting to that are not even quite sure anymore that it is related to race at all. To many, this is about losing identity and norms. But of course, these norms were heavily associated with being white whereas the rest is just a deviation or fringe. Having the "fringe" now entering the main spaces is what makes many feel threatened. Not as such. Individual bets might be closer to polls, but they are also vulnerable to manipulations (https://www.forbes.com/sites/jimrossi/2020/10/29/election-odds-is-political-betting-more-accurate-than-polling/) It is also important to note that many parents are not in favour of their kids learning (or being forced to learn) critical thinking. In many cases it turns out that their kids will struggle with the concept for a while at least and some are inevitably going to fail. As parents and kids associate high academic grades with (financial) success, it becomes a risk to take challenging courses or being forced to go through them. We see a continuation of this line of thinking also increasingly in colleges. I think there are lot of knock-on effects going on.
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War Games: Russia Takes Ukraine, China Takes Taiwan. US Response?
The voters really came out against traditional conservatism and really marched into, well whatever this is.