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Danijel Gorupec

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Danijel Gorupec last won the day on May 9

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About Danijel Gorupec

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  1. The outcome of some viral diseases might be affected by the exposure viral load, and indeed, lower exposure viral load could lead to milder symptoms. But even if you deal with such a disease, you cannot use limited viral exposure as a form of vaccination. The important quality of vaccine is that it creates immunity, but does not create spreadable disease.... In your case, however, such 'vaccinated' persons would spread the disease and your method might make things worse.
  2. New Zealand probably did it right. On the other hand, my country (Croatia) also has a good statistics, but I suspect we only did it by locking people inside their homes. I don't see improvements in infrastructure and I don't see why yoyo effect would not happen to us... So I guess it can depend from country to country.
  3. Personal satisfaction that some people feel when they are building something with their own hands; includes the satisfaction of learning in the process. All other reasons being of lesser importance, imo. So if you don't feel excited with the idea of building a telescope on your own, it is perfectly reasonable to just buy one. The price is almost never a valid reason. If you don't have enough money, finding a paid job would be a less work/time-intensive way to obtain the telescope. The only exception would be if you want to work on something so specific that it is not possible to find a proper tool on the market. Then you will build one even if you don't enjoy doing it.
  4. New Zealand is one striking example of a whole class of countries that claim (rightfully) success in fighting the virus. At least they won the initial battle (as I doubt the war is over). I think, the question is if during that time they managed to establish effective work procedures, organize tracking teams, educate population, increase hospital capacity... If they did, then the initial strong reaction was a good investment. If not, then I they are again at the beginning.... I mean, they cannot remain an island in the ocean forever
  5. This is what proponents of this idea are pointing out - allegedly, the BCG vaccination is still obligatory in eastern Europe for all children, while is not obligatory in western europe (Portugal being an exception). I didn't check these claims... If UK still has a large portion of population BCG vaccinated, as you suggest, then the idea just falls apart.
  6. If this was already discussed on SFN, please direct me... Here in eastern europe, there is some speculation that the reason why eastern europe seems less affected by covid-19 (in comparison to the western europe) could be due to previous vaccination against tuberculosis (the BCG vaccine). This seems far fetched to me, but what is your opinion?
  7. But I understand the OP in the following way: 'all this is only for intellectual amusement - can you tell me how it feeds people and makes their lives longer'. While I personally wouldn't like to live very long without intellectual amusement, I guess some people could legitimately ask such questions. I sometimes take the ELT (Extremely Large Telescope) as an example. I certainly support investing money into it, even if I know investing that money into sewage systems in Africa might be a better investment.... But I forgive myself easily. This is even aesthetically pleasing
  8. Yep, waste and pollutant is not the same. Waste is defined from manufacturing point of view, while pollutant is defined from ecological point of view. (Although even 'pollutant' does not seem as a good word - it has a broader meaning - maybe 'poison' wold do better?)
  9. Ah, you talk about mutation events, not about new virus strains. Clear.
  10. Why less contagious? This seems counterintuitive to me. (Less lethal makes sense.)
  11. I also agree with Theresa. (I am especially disappointed how EU countries handled the situation - every country for itself). And I am afraid that for some time afterwards the world wont be a better place. (I don't understand why criticizing China response is so much popular these days - It might be that the journalist emphasized this, not Theresa. I read the BBC version.).
  12. Yes sure. Any management of the disease heavily relies on prompt and correct measurements. More so if we manage smaller groups. But the measurement part I don't understand exactly. For example, if you measure antibodies, can you at all conclude anything about spreading rate or direction? I guess one should measure presence of viral particles instead?
  13. They are not. But it seems to me that the second always includes the first. (I am just thinking... to be able to micromanage the spread, the country should probably have one field team of professionals for every case per day. A guestimation.)
  14. What then makes the right time to start lifting restrictions - did CharonY suggest that this should be determined by random testing instead of the targeted testing? It seems to me that number of new cases per day is never an important criteria. It is more important how quickly and effectively a state can micromanage the spread. What do you think?
  15. So, some countries and provinces are reopening already... Will this make a pressure on others to reopen too? I mean, capitalism still works: those who can produce their products will find new customers, those who cannot produce will lose their regular ones. So no, I wouldn't claim success only because my country still has roughly 97-98% of population intact by the virus(*). (* I just multiplied confirmed cases by 50 - this gives 2.5% of population).
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