Everything posted by JoeyJoystick
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Geoengineering
Hi Studiot. I did not even know I had a negative. I was not referring to that. That is ok. What I meant was that I did not start this thread. I feel like I have changed the subject. That is not always appreciated. Hence, I worry I derailed the thread. And, yes, I am serious about this. I am very aware that it is an outlandish idea, but I just like to look at things from different perspectives. Most of the time it is fairly obvious that the idea deserves a one-way ticket to the dust bin. But this time everything I looked up confirmed my idea, and I did not find much that I thought would stand in the way. And this is an exercise from which I learn a lot. I am hoping for you guys to proof me wrong. And you have made me aware of several mistakes already. But the mistakes go both ways I notice. Hence I said I need time for this. Joey
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Geoengineering
Hi Studiot, First of all my apologies for jumping to a conclusion a bit quickly with my remark on the Beer-Lambert Law. And needless to say now that I had obviously not heard from that. I had, however, tried to do something similar though. This is way better. Thanks for the link, but I need a bit more time than I have have right now. I will compile something nice and come back later on this. There is more data available on the subject than I had imagined. And some of it is very promising because they have tested this is my understanding. On a different note. I have a feeling I have derailed the original conversation. Please advise. I see you have been here a long time. I do not want to offend anyone. Joey
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Geoengineering
Sorry , but when I see 'beer law' a week after I subscribed I am not even gonna check if that actually is a thing... But ok, if you insist. It is one just of the properties of Graphene. Joey
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Geoengineering
Tried that. At first the dispersion rate depends solely on the amount of shaking, but after a few bottles you actually have to reduce the shaking because it appears to disperse more. Joey
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The Official "Introduce Yourself" Thread
Hi All, I just want to take a minute to introduce myself. I am Joey. I am Dutch. I live in Thailand. And I am 55 years of age. Ever since I was a kid I loved technology and science. The ADHD dictated I should explore this professionally with a suitcase. Mostly as a service provider to the oil industry. Lived in 5 countries, and visited well over 50. I studied electronics at college. Worked during the day and studied in the evenings. This worked well for me. After having worked all day I finally had enough piece in my body to actually sit and listen to that guys. After this I broadened my knowledge by studying climate control design, statistical analysis, C++, and MCSE. After this I have started reading in a seemingly endless quest for more knowledge with a main focus on Physics, Astronomy, and mechanics. When I post I write myself. When I state facts, I have checked them. That does not mean I never make a mistake. Show me where I am wrong so I can learn. Pros: Always willing to explore new ideas. Always try to look at things from a different angle to see an other perspective. I'm a straight shooter. Cons: I have in the past accused people of having the social skills of a pregnant monkey. Truth said; I'm a bit like that at times too. I have a short fuse. Hope to see you all around. Oh, and one note. History has taught me that there are always a few people who get second thoughts when they see my name. I needed a new email address with a different name. My best friends name is Joey and my wife had just bought me MS Flight Simulator for x-mas with a joystick. The handle stuck and I still us it today. And that's all there is to that. Joey
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Is there an area for new members to introduce themselves?
Hi All, I am Joey. I am new to the forum. I registered several days ago and posted a few thoughts, but other than that I am a virgin here. Can someone tell me if there is a place where people can introduce themselves? I saw in the Ts & Cs that there is restrictions on the use of AI. First of all I agree that there is restrictions. My question for you is if you agree with my approach. The way I read your rules, I think it is ok, but I would like someone to confirm this. I use AI frequently. However, I use it as a tool that guides me in the right directions. I will always use my own words and never copy any text. I am proud of who I am, both the good and the bad, so why hide it right. I often discuss with AI. Mostly to get ideas. I started using AI when it was first available to the public and learned the hard way that it is a tool, not a replacement for my own brain. When I ask questions knowing full well that I will use that information here or on any other forum, I will ask him for references. If I asked a question about a subject I am very familiar with myself AND I see that the references are from reliable sources, I may on occasion decide not to check the information, but the reality is that most information I post I have checked to the best of my knowledge, and if I really try to make a strong point, I tend to double check before I open my mouth. Do you agree that this approach is acceptable or should I alter it for this forum. I would like to stick to the rules. I've been reading quite a bit and I am getting the impression that this forum is for people in general who are genuinely interested in science regardless of education. Is that correct? If I should not be here, I would like to know. No offense taken. I never went to university. I just read a lot. Joey
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Geoengineering
Hi Studiot, Yes, this should be monitored. Can be predicted to an extend as well, especially after the effects are better understood when done in practice. For this whole idea I just wanted to see if some if the important numbers fell in the realm of possibilities. The idea grew from actually graphene. Because it gives a reference point and the numbers seem to kind match up, I have decided to use the equivalent of 1 square meter of graphene per m2 per year as the amount released around the earth. Now let's address your health concern. 1m2 of graphene will result in 0.76mg of graphene being deposited on earth per year. Density is caused by the particles falling down and therefore being present in the air, but also resuspension. Particles already on the ground being resuspended by wind or human activity. This is by far the greatest contributor of suspended material on our scenario by several magnitudes. Generally it is accepted that 0.01 - 0.001% of particulate matter on the floor will be resuspended in the air. If we take a worse case scenario of 0.01% this would result in 76nanograms in suspension in the air. Additional suspension cause by particulate falling down is 3 magnitudes smaller and in the Pico gram range, so for practical reasons can be ignored for now. There is currently no regulation in place for carbon or graphene particulate matter. The only thing we have is WHO PM2.5 guidelines. The strictest in the world. No matter how we look at it, it appears that we stay below that by at least 3 magnitudes. Now I am not saying it is safe, but I wanted to know if it is feasible or not. I think this brings it at least in the realm of possibilities. No direct show stopper. Yeah, you are right that this is a concern. Let's take a closer look. If we get a Toba style eruption, than we have other things to worry about. Forget climate change. lol. And it was about 75,000 years ago, so this also implies the chance of this happening tomorrow is not exactly worrisome. Let's take eruptions like Krakatoa, Pinatubo and Tambora. So these things happen like once every 75-150 years or so. If it happens we simply turn of the dispensers. All will start falling down, just like ash from the volcano. When the volcano starts, we stop. And than in time when the sky is clearing up, than we start again. But that is the simple approach. In reality it will likely be a little more complicate than that. If an ice age arrives, than we obviously do not have global warming anymore... There is no way to take it down in a hurry. It will need to slowly fall down by gravity. We can turn it off though. But it is not like it starts falling down when the dispensers are turned off. It starts falling down when it is being dispensed. And since you are continuously dispensing you can claim that all matter is always continuously falling down, and half of it is already halfway down at any given moment. (Sorry, in my head this makes sense, but something tells me I am not saying it clear...) There is a different aspect about volcanos that may help illustrate that this is not quite comparable. If we take Mount Tambora for example. This was a massive eruption with between 160 and 180km3 of ejecta with an estimated 150km3 of ash, yet this cause an global temperature drop of only 0.4-0.7C. I am proposing to release something in the order of 50,000 tons per year. As opposed to km3! And think that we can achieve a temperature drop of 2C with that. I can see why people would call me crazy for that though. But hey, show me I am wrong. Please. Joey Hi TheVat, My apologies for not responding earlier. Like I said in my first post, I am new. I am gonna throw it on that if you don't mind. And thank you and all the other for all feedback. You know what, maybe it is a stupid idea. But on the surface it looks feasible. And some of things you guys have brought up, I had obviously not thought about. So I learned an awful lot in the last day again. You wonder about the costs. It was this what motivated me to investigate further when I initially got the idea. What made me continue was the very low projected launch cost for StarShip by Elon Musk. I actually kept these numbers 5 times higher than he quoted. And the next number that motivated me what the high absorption rate of graphene. Cheap? No. Likely several hundred billion dollars. But if it does indeed work, that would be a very low price for some relief. And compared to the more than 1Trillion USD that we now spend on a yearly basis, this does not appear a show-stopper. I was very worried about the deorbit time. And in my first post I actually made a mistake in this regard. Bottom line is that smaller particles will much quicker deaccelerate. But this also depends on altitude. However, when they reach an altitude of 10-20km, the rate of falling down slows down dramatically. From what I can now find I understand that such small particulate would decent in weeks until it reaches the atmosphere and than it would take several weeks, maybe even months until it passes through the atmosphere and land. If you increase the altitude to about 600km you can expect the matter to stay in orbit for 1-5 years. I have used 2 years in my examples. Solar activity has a dramatic, negative effect on the time to fall down. Apparently the particles are pushed towards earth. Electrostatic interference has also an effect. But I do not know anything about this. yet. You suggest that money is better spend on solar or wind instead of this. My intention has never been to provide a solution global warming. I think I provide a solution that buys us time to install all those windmills and solar farms by actively countering the temperature rise. We pollute more? We correct more. We pollute less? We correct less. Nature has restored itself and we are not influencing the climate anymore? We stop correcting it. This just buys us time to do the things properly. You bring up CCN. I must admit, I had not even heard of the term until now. From what I understand there is no reason to be concerned. If we use graphene powder with a size of 2-5nm it will at least be a magnitude smaller than the 50nm minimum size for them to act as CCN. In addition to this, graphene is hydrophobic. That same particle size is also the reason why it appears at first glance that the health impact will be likely be negligeable. As I outlined in an earlier post, it stay well below the few guidelines that we do have in place. Having said that, more research is required. At present there are no such safety guidelines for graphene. The ice melting does not make sense I think. When it is cold, snow will deposit on top of the deposited graphene and therefore not be visible nor have a warming effect. If it is warm on the other hand, you will see black ice because of all the other pollutants that have been deposited over that past millennia and the additional effect of the graphene will be negligeable. Joey
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Geoengineering
Hi Phi for All, The satellite dispenser needs to be reloaded with powder regularly. While at it, they have at least the possibility for refuelling, if required. And I am not sure if you are leaning in this direction, but I think the particle size would be too small to cause significant damage. This would need to be confirmed though. p.s. Thanks for the link. Joey
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Geoengineering
Hi exchemist, You're correct as far as I know. But that does not change much I think. This way you can still cover all the latitudes you want. And I say 'you want' because you do not want to cover the polar areas. That would be a waste of money, time, and resources. Collisions. I know little about this, but I do know that many new satellites can change orbit when they are approaching something that could cause harm. We're not talking a swarm of satellites with the density of StarLink, but I agree it is something that would have to be looked into. But not in relation to each other. They are tied to earth, not to each other. And I think I read somewhere I only have 5 messages on my first membership day, so I guess this is the last message I can send today... I will reply when I can. Joey
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Geoengineering
Hi Studiot, I am now. But Hydrogen and oxygen is water I believe. So that is not pollution in the long term, but it may have a small effect in thew short term. And it is short term, because the vast majority of it will be burned up in very close proximity of earth and quickly fall down again as water. I am not denying your correct, but I think the influence of this is negligible. The rockets, of course, are re-usable. You would need quite a few of them. But hey, Elon shouted that he can launch StarShip for 2 million per trip (I calculated 10M. I struggle trusting Elon.). Joey
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Geoengineering
Hi Studiot, 1 - With equal size graphene is lighter because it is 2 dimensional. We struggle to manufacture graphene, but we're actually quite good at making shitty small pieces of graphene, and that is exactly what you need here. It's, to my knowledge, the cheapest form of Graphene. If not it will be when you order 50,000 tons. lol. Ok, that applies to any other thing you may wanna choose to replace Graphene as well of course. 2 - Correct. Some particles will fall down to earth. Some particles will be blown into space. Most will fall down though. I do not know if there is a better term for this than 'half-time', but I use that because it closely resembles the half-time of radioactive elements. Depending on velocity, altitude, and particle size it will take an 'x' amount of time for half of the particles to fall back to earth. There is one more significant variable in this that we can not control though. Solar flares have a tendency to hasten the downfall of particles significantly, but I know very little details about this. However, if you find an altitude at which you can release the particles where they allow you a half time of let's say 2 years, than that effectively means that you would be covering the entire planet with a layer of carbon with a thickness of a single atom. Ok, it would be the equivalent of it, but you get my drift I think. Do you think that such a small amount would harm your health? We're talking vastly different quantities compared to what coal miners inhaled in the past. 3 - Very rough numbers here. 97.5% of light passes through. 0.5% of light is reflected, and about 2% of light is absorbed. But this is not located below the clouds, but 100s of kms high. Also, yes it absorbs the heat, but instantly radiates this heat back out again. Imagine a this collecting 2.5% of the suns heat for 2 years before it falls to earth. It would be thousands of degrees C, and that is obviously not the case. Radiation. Joey Hi exchemist, I envision dispensers in orbit. Many of them. All at different locations, such that the dispensing cloud will cover most of earth. Similar to how we presently have satellite coverage. The dispensers will 'spray' powder horizontally. With lack of atmosphere, the spread will be significant. Furthermore, I also think we would have different densities of powder dispensed at different latitudes. And with different densities, I do not mean particle size, but how many particles are dispensed per m3. This would allow for making small variations in cooling effect depending on latitude. i.e. If today we observe more heating in the polar regions, we may want to opt for blocking more sunlight going to the Arctic by dispensing more powder at higher latitudes compared to lower latitudes.. This may actually be a very direct way to stop sea-level rise quickly. As to orbital dynamics; Sorry, I am not that clever. What I do know is that in aerosol experiments and suggested experiments, I have never read anything about this being a problem, other than it eventually coming back down again of course. Joey
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Geoengineering
Hi exchemist, I mean in LEO (Low Earth Orbit), and not the upper atmosphere. At very small particle sizes, it is my understanding that it will rather quickly disperse at lower altitudes because of atmospheric influences still measurable at that altitude. I do not mean in space, because that would not be feasible anymore. A shield around the sun would be significantly larger than a shield around the earth. I am talking several magnitudes. Like you said, not the way to go. But even in orbit around Earth, It would need orbital speed, and the speed is provided by the dispensers who are already in orbit. But you are correct when you say that atmospheric conditions will degrade the cloud. This rate of loss vs. altitude needs to be determined by people more clever than me to find the 'sweet spot'. You would need large amounts regardless of how you do this though. Assuming no loss, you would need 55,000 tons of powder in the first 2 years. Joey
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Geoengineering
Hi All, I am Joey and I am new here. My apologies for any mistakes. Anyway, I came to this forum to discuss exactly this. Well kinda like this. Ever since I was a kid (teen. Big kid), I have wondered why we not 'block' the sun. Sending up a couple of sunshades sounds like a plan on the surface, but the world economy would not be able to support the transportation cost of these shades into orbit. Then some 20 years ago we got Graphene, and the same idea crossed my mind again. But this time I dismissed it simply because even if we can get shades in place, you won't be able to keep them in place. But than, quite recently, I got the idea to dispense powder into space. My first questions; Is it technically and economically feasible. I think the answer to both questions is yes. After I explored my idea, I noticed that GEO-Engineering is actually a 'thing' and that quite a few people are looking into that. Including using aerosols. I even saw a study on the use of diamond powder. But, I was looking at carbon powder. It's absorption rate and its reflective properties. My motivation here is that Graphene, being only a single atom thick, still manages to stop 2.5% off the sunlight. And this is enough to reduce the global temperature to pre-industrial levels it appears. Now considering that Graphene is only an atom thick, covering 3,000km2 with this is quite incredible I figured. It appears that when this is in powder form it has slightly better reflective properties, so this would be a win. We can use dispensers in LEO who will be loaded and slowly disperse their load into LEO. By dispersion on different latitudes, you will likely even be able to use different cooling rates at different latitudes. Depending on the altitude, the carbon powder will slowly disappear, but it will likely take a few years to have reduce the amount of carbon by half. As to cost? You need to install 75 'dispensers' in LEO. You need to send them a daily supply of about 1, 000kg of carbon powder. SpaceX StarShip could be used if they stick to a schedule of 1 flight per day for a few years. Now I'm gonna do something that is not fair, but since both the cost of the dispensers and the carbon are irrelevant to the total cost I am just going to focus on the transportation costs. Now SpaceX claims they will be able to fly StarShip for 2 Million per launch. Since Elon Musk has a bad habit of being wrong with numbers, I am just gonna take this immediately to 10 million USD per flight. with about 1 flight a day for 2 years this would accumulate to about 7.5 Billion USD. Compared to probably less than 1 billion for both the dispensers and the carbon. All numbers are rough. I am not publishing a research paper here. I just try to show that the numbers allow for more attention to the idea. Because if we can lower the temperature on earth indeed by a few degrees at the predicted cost, than we have a way to buy us time. The enormous costs of stopping the processes that cause this is clearly not happening overnight and is also, clearly costing a magnitude more. We are presently spending well in access of a trillion dollars per year on climate. Joey