mistermack

On 8/23/2022 at 10:27 PM, TheVat said:

Biden has eighteen months to awaken to the realities of the aging process that are pretty evident to others.  I don't want him to run because I don't like him, but because I do like him.  He's earned a rest.  I believe that, in his heart, Joe understands how vital younger blood is for the Democratic party, and will eventually throw his support that way.

The gamblers think he WILL run, going by the odds quoted. But if he doesn't, then the democratic favourite after him is Kamala Harris, at 14 to 1 odds. 

But the odds on the next best democrat will shorten enormously, if Biden decides not to run. So if you are Joe Biden, you are in a position to make a lot of money, if you know for a fact right now that you are not going to run. 

If I was Biden, I would be watching the polls, or hoping for a miracle. If neither change in his favour, I don't think he'll stand. So I think it's likely that Harris WILL be the democrat candidate when election time comes round, if nothing much changes. (except the betting odds) 

Which would make her a very worthwhile bet right now, at 14 to 1, or +1400 .

You could also look at it from another view point, and work out how much energy was used in making the battery, and that gives a more real total of energy used. 

4 minutes ago, swansont said:

But they don’t know the odds of who will be president. There’s no inherent knowledge here at all.

They know the betting odds. Bookies don't need to be experts on each market that they create a book for. 

The inherent knowledge, if any, lies with the gamblers. They use whatever knowledge they have to weigh up the odds, and their betting volume decides the bookies' odds.

11 minutes ago, swansont said:

They don’t show the same odds, so there might be a way to do that anyway.

I'm no expert, but I believe it can be done, but you need a wide spread to make it pay. The betting tax in this country, and the poor overall odds given by bookies, to ensure a profit, make it difficult but not impossible to cover one bet with another. 

This page takes the mystery out of US/UK differences :

https://www.onlinegambling.com/sports/odds-calculator/  

1 minute ago, swansont said:

Im which case they don’t know what they’re talking about, they’re reacting to money being bet.

That's what all bookmakers do. I said "by the people who know the odds" .  Nobody knows who will win. 

1 hour ago, swansont said:

22 hours ago, mistermack said:

Interesting odds.

Depends on who generated them, which you don’t share. Who are “the people” referenced?

Or what the numbers mean. None of those are odds as I’ve seen them presented.

I did give the source link earlier. But it's UK format, ie   2 to 1,  11 to 4 etc. There are 25 major betting companies giving their best odds. The bolded boxes are the best odds overall.             https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2024/winner?selectionName=donald-trump  

Here is what I believe is a US style page of odds.           https://bookies.com/news/presidential-election-odds-daily-tracker  

I'm assuming that +275 means you win 275 cents per dollar bet, I don't know if that includes your original stake. In the UK if you win at 2 to 1, you get £3 back for a £1 stake.

I'm guessing that +275 means that you get 375 cents back, for a dollar stake ?? 

In the UK, that would be the equivalent of an 11/4 bet.  

42 minutes ago, TheVat said:

The pop culture here in the USA is so besotted with fantasy these days, that there seems to be a common assumption that GoT is the watercooler show which everyone will get references to.

I get nothing out of fantasy these days. When I was a kid, I found The Hobbit a good read, and tried to read The Lord of The Rings, but found those books hard going and a bit repetitive. I read the first, got halfway through The Two Towers, but it was hard work and i abandoned it, in spite of others going on about how great it was. 

Nowadsys, fantasy leaves me stone cold. ( unless it's got some steamy sexy bits in it as below) I think that you get more critical as you get older. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1x-ATlpqo1M

1 minute ago, dimreepr said:

Did you not choose your path?

No. My path started out with intense religious indoctrination. I didn't choose that. I eventually chose to reject it, and I got a lot of family grief over that. 

Very few people kick off the religious ties, but some do. 

The point is, how many people WOULD choose a religion, if they were not indoctrinated as children? That's what a free choice would look like. And which religion would they choose, if they decided to adopt one? The choice would be wide open. But no, people almost always adopt the religion that was forced on them as a child. More proof that religion is anything but voluntary. 

10 minutes ago, dimreepr said:

If you haven't been hungry enough to eat from a bin, then I agree, communication is impossible.

And you'll never understand how a God can grease your wheel's... 

This is a non-argument. There's nothing wrong with conjuring up an imaginary friend. Without it, nobody would be able to masturbate. And it might even make dying a little bit less stressful. 

What's wrong with religion, is that it's not voluntary. It's imposed on little children as a true story, which truly is child abuse.

By all means, adopt an imaginary friend for yourself, when you are old enough to think for yourself, if you really want to. But don't abuse the minds of little children, when they have no defence against such rubbish. 

10 minutes ago, Sensei said:

Not really. OP wanted to make ray-tracer, not teacher.

I didn't mention a ray tracer. The teacher said that : 

2 hours ago, ellipsoid said:

my project should be technically challenging, have a reason for someone to use my version over any existing version and solve some kind of particular problem.

That's asking a lot, as I said.

I can't, but I would comment that they are asking a hell of a lot. If you were sucessful in what they are asking, who would own the copyright or patent, because it sounds like it would be worth some money. 

6 hours ago, zapatos said:

Can you please explain why?

Both are fake news.

1 hour ago, Ghideon said:

Assuming that a LR41 battery lasts for 5 years in a digital wrist watch and initially contains 30 mAh then a quick calculation gives the average current 0,46 micro amperes.

I don't think it works quite as simply as that. Batteries will degrade over five years, even if you are not drawing a current. So some of the 30 mah will have been used, but a substantial amount will have just seeped away due to aging. 

3 hours ago, iNow said:

4 hours ago, mistermack said:

I've never heard of him ! 

 

You may be the only one 

I think that would probably go for 99% in the UK.

45 minutes ago, TheVat said:

This kind of odds setting will probably be more informed in 2024.  I couldn't see the source in the OP.  What is it?

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2024/winner?selectionName=donald-trump 

Generally the odds reflect the money that is being bet, but I'm sure there is some research involved too. Although these are UK betting companies, you would think that they reflect the US odds, because otherwise it's wide open for punters to make a bet here, and cover it there, ensuring a profit either way. 

Interesting odds. They don't give Joe Biden much hope. But Ron DeSantis is roughly the same bet as Trump. I've never heard of him ! 

Life is like a box of chocolates. It doesn’t last long if you’re fat.

1 minute ago, MigL said:

The American President can go nearly everwhere in the world without fear of being targeted for assassination

Yeh, right. 

1 minute ago, Phi for All said:

Well, we learned well from our colonial masters, the British. 

Took a while to learn that slavery was not cricket. Or that blacks could drink the same water as whites. 

I tried to steal some spaghetti from an Italian restaurant kitchen today, but the owner was watching, and I couldn't get pasta. 

4 hours ago, MigL said:

But why bring the past into the discussion ?

Because the USA, a country built on stolen lands, on the backs of slavery, never stops lecturing the world, if they act a bit differently to them. Cuba committed the crime of taking it's country back under it's own control, away from the US mafia. The US has always considered Cuba as it's own property, and just like Putin, they tried invading to take it back when they lost control, and when that failed, conducted a vicious economic war for seventy years. 

The US like Russia invaded Afghanistan, after all the condemnation of Russia for doing so. They invaded Iraq under false pretences twice. They tried to take over Vietnam, to impose their own puppet government on it, and tried to win hearts and minds by blowing them to bits, and burning them with phosporus bombs and napalm.  

With the US, it's always been, don't do as we do, do as we say.        OR ELSE !!  

But of course, the American kids are brought up on a diet of "pioneer" history, not murder, theft and slavery. And Hollywood was built on the same lie. 

58 minutes ago, MigL said:

And stop trying to re-aquire all those now sovereign countries, like the Ukraine, that despise your brutality, and want to govern themselves.

What'dya mean Clint???

That's how the West was won !!

3 hours ago, dimreepr said:

WTF are you talking about?

You're either playing dumb, or you're forgetting your own posts. In your precious sermon on the mount, Matthew quotes Jesus as saying you should turn the other cheek when you are attacked. How would you advise the Ukrainians to follow that christian nugget of wisdom? 

I wonder if you could use a version of this as energy storage? 

Site the pumps where there is a good record of onshore winds, and where there is a good sized mountain range inland. So the vapour you create gets forced upwards by the mountain, and is forced to fall as rain. You can then build a series of dams, and store the water for hydro-electric generation.  

So in a desert spot, you would be creating fresh water, and harvesting electrical energy all in one go. So the potential would be there for the system to power itself. 

On 8/20/2022 at 12:37 PM, dimreepr said:

Besides can you please explain what the bad bit's are?

I have already mentioned some. But try telling the Ukrainians to turn the other cheek. Let's see how many negs you get for that.

8 minutes ago, KyleLeClair said:

Great observation, that does seem more likely. 

And don't forget you are weightless until the day you're born. And with your memories of being in the womb, it might be mixed up with that. 

With my flying dream it's definitely of me getting lighter and lighter, until I can float and glide around. It's not really of any kind of  powered flying mechanism.

I've had the flying dream many times as a kid, not so often as an adult.

It starts of with me bounding along, and with each bound I go higher, and descend more slowly, so that eventually I stay airborne. I then seem to have the power to gently propel myself along and steer. I'm more interested in the view, than the fact that I'm now flying, but it's a fantastic feeling. I can see everything down below in incredible detail, full of vivid colour and moving people and cars. 

Waking up is a real disappointment. 

I don't think those dreams are all that rare.