Jump to content

Featured Replies

On 9/26/2025 at 3:41 AM, npts2020 said:

Seems obvious to me. The one initially chosen has a 33 1/3 % chance of being the correct choice. The one left has a 50% chance of being correct.

(using 3 choices of course)

But this is not the question.

The question is should you change your choice ?

The answer is yes because there is only one door that Monty can open if your were initially correct, but there are two doors that Monty could open if you were not.

So you are twice as likely to be right with the door he did not open as sticking to the door you originally chose.

The reasoning follows KJW's method in the spoiler.

Please sign in to comment

You will be able to leave a comment after signing in

Sign In Now

Important Information

We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue.

Configure browser push notifications

Chrome (Android)
  1. Tap the lock icon next to the address bar.
  2. Tap Permissions → Notifications.
  3. Adjust your preference.
Chrome (Desktop)
  1. Click the padlock icon in the address bar.
  2. Select Site settings.
  3. Find Notifications and adjust your preference.