# Owen Martin

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2. ## Prove the negative of the Monty Hall problem

Hello. I hope this thread is still trafficked. I think I solved the problem (been losing sleep). I believe in what is being called the INTUITIVE answer. Math is an abstraction, so without the proper framework it doesn't work correctly (aka "word problems"). I keep seeing this recurring theme: Car/Goat/Goat Goat/Car/Goat Goat/Goat/Car When in fact the possibilities are: Car/Goat #1/Goat #2 Goat#1/Car/Goat#2 Goat #1/Goat#2/Car Goat#2/Goat#1/Car Car/Goat#2/Goat#1 Goat#2/Car/Goat #1 Then if you are forced to switch the possible outcomes are: 1. Pick car, shown g1, switch to g2=LOSE 2. Pick car, shown g2, switch to g1=LOSE 3. Pick g1, shown g2, switch to car=WIN 4. Pick g2, shown g1, switch to car=WIN 2 wins and 2 losses. 50/50 if you switch. I created an account just for this. I hope someone reads this...Thanks.
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