I agree that probably a portion of medicine derived from anecdotal evidence, as mentioned by ecoli. Possibly from archaic texts from the chinese, egyptians. greeks etc. using western scienctific methods (as methodologies from descartes, newton etc) the info is further probed into, and progressively developed into our modern view of medicine (with discoveries along the way like penicilin, technology, DNA and stuff). still, is there the value or a level of predictability in the drug discovery, such that we can postulate that certain species in a particular genus may contain therapeutic agents because of certain mechanisms we know present in the genus?