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2014 Climate explanation / model seek

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Hey there

 

In my country and region (Nicaragua, Central America) winter hasnt come this year. It is off by three months. This hasn't happened in almost forty years.

 

Where can I find information about this topic? I am interested in a discussion or publication by serious academics who try to explain what has happened so far this year, and a pronostic for the remaining of the year.

 

Maybe a US forum/institution talking about this topic?

 

Unfortunately, politics in my region are corrupt, and official professionals are usually just average joes leading quizzical institutions.

 

Thanks for your help

Edited by xyz123abc

  • Author

BUT that article says nothing I can't read in a newspaper!

 

<br /> I don't need economic estimates. I don't care who the drought is affecting

 

<br /> I am interested in the background of this current drought itself in Central America, specially because, as I understand, it is still not an effect of the "El niño" which is currently developing.

 

 

<br /> I hope to find a discussion, or class, by meteorologist about this year's events, and maybe an hypothesis on how it will develop short-term. I am seeking METHEOROLOGICAL DATA AND MODELS, Thanks

Edited by xyz123abc

BUT that article says nothing I can't read in a newspaper!

 

I don't need economic estimates. I don't care who the drought is affecting

 

I am interested in the background of this current drought itself in Central America, specially because, as I understand, it is still not an effect of the "El niño" which is currently developing.

 

I hope to find a discussion, or class, by meteorologist about this year's events, and maybe an hypothesis on how it will develop short-term. I am seeking METEOROLOGICAL DATA AND MODELS, Thanks

It would help the discussion if you would give references to support your comment, 'as I understand'. We can hardly be expected to know if you misunderstood or not if we aren't privy to your sources. :)

 

PS No need for the all caps.

Ah, Mr. Acme. My previous comment addressed your suggested link: http://eyeonlatinamerica.wordpress.com/2014/07/31/el-nino-latin-america I appreciate your feedback! But it is not what I am asking for. Let me know if you find it, still looking for it! Thanks.

Roger; you're welcome. Since climate refers to long term conditions/trends of weather, then variations of weather in time & space (region) are to be expected. Looking at climate models to predict specific weather events is the wrong approach in my humble opinion. Let us know if you find otherwise.

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