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santiagoyepes5

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Posts posted by santiagoyepes5

  1. The SIR model is 3 EDO's


    I am looking to estimate the parameters (b, y) with the method of Gauss Newton

    The real data they give me are only the number of infected from day 1 to 14

    The system lacks analytical solution

    I solve with Euler this gives me the numerical approximation of the system,

    Approach the problem of initial values ​​with Cauchy


    (DS / dt) = -s * i * b

    (DI / dt) = -s * i * b - y * i

    (DR / dt) = y * i


    Where

    S: susceptible persons

    I: Infected people

    A: People removed


    The problem is that when estimating the partial derivatives, I do not understand from which equation to estimate them since it seems logical that I can not do it from dI / dt since it represents the change of the infected with respect to the time osea the derivative thus I think Who should do it from its integral?


    My problem is where I make my first partial derivatives and what are they to evaluate the initial matrix?


    Any help, bibliographical, correctness, thank you.


    regards


    Santiago

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