2014 Climate explanation / model seek

[xyz123abc]

Hey there

 

In my country and region (Nicaragua, Central America) winter hasnt come this year. It is off by three months. This hasn't happened in almost forty years.

 

Where can I find information about this topic? I am interested in a discussion or publication by serious academics who try to explain what has happened so far this year, and a pronostic for the remaining of the year.

 

Maybe a US forum/institution talking about this topic?

 

Unfortunately, politics in my region are corrupt, and official professionals are usually just average joes leading quizzical institutions.

 

Thanks for your help

Edited August 5, 2014 by xyz123abc

[Acme]

Try this article: >> El Niño already making its mark on Latin America

 

Searching 'El Niño 2014 Central America' gives numerous other articles. >> El Niño 2014 Central America @ Yahoo

 

Edit: Typo

Edited August 5, 2014 by Acme

[xyz123abc]

BUT that article says nothing I can't read in a newspaper!

 

<br /> I don't need economic estimates. I don't care who the drought is affecting

 

<br /> I am interested in the background of this current drought itself in Central America, specially because, as I understand, it is still not an effect of the "El niño" which is currently developing.

 

 

<br /> I hope to find a discussion, or class, by meteorologist about this year's events, and maybe an hypothesis on how it will develop short-term. I am seeking METHEOROLOGICAL DATA AND MODELS, Thanks

Edited August 7, 2014 by xyz123abc

[Acme]

BUT that article says nothing I can't read in a newspaper!

 

I don't need economic estimates. I don't care who the drought is affecting

 

I am interested in the background of this current drought itself in Central America, specially because, as I understand, it is still not an effect of the "El niño" which is currently developing.

 

I hope to find a discussion, or class, by meteorologist about this year's events, and maybe an hypothesis on how it will develop short-term. I am seeking METEOROLOGICAL DATA AND MODELS, Thanks

It would help the discussion if you would give references to support your comment, 'as I understand'. We can hardly be expected to know if you misunderstood or not if we aren't privy to your sources.

 

PS No need for the all caps.

[Johnny Electriglide]

Scroll through the many links, graphs, diagrams, pictures, and cartoons!!! Good luck!

https://www.skepticalscience.com/

[xyz123abc]

Ah, Mr. Acme.

 

My previous comment addressed your suggested link:

 

http://eyeonlatinamerica.wordpress.com/2014/07/31/el-nino-latin-america

 

I appreciate your feedback! But it is not what I am asking for.

 

Let me know if you find it, still looking for it! Thanks.

[Acme]

Ah, Mr. Acme. My previous comment addressed your suggested link: http://eyeonlatinamerica.wordpress.com/2014/07/31/el-nino-latin-america I appreciate your feedback! But it is not what I am asking for. Let me know if you find it, still looking for it! Thanks.

Roger; you're welcome. Since climate refers to long term conditions/trends of weather, then variations of weather in time & space (region) are to be expected. Looking at climate models to predict specific weather events is the wrong approach in my humble opinion. Let us know if you find otherwise.