IshaanM8

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Posts posted by IshaanM8


Good day to everyone reading this. Thanks for your time.
I've got this question here (more like an research assignment) which requires me to predict further values in a given set of values.
I've attached a picture for a better understanding.
The data is the cases of influenza in a country over the years.
There's values missing in from May, 2019 onwards.
We have to use the previous set of data, come up with a "Prediction model" and use that to predict the values until end of 2019.
The thing is, our teacher is very incompetent, and only told us to use "polynomials from the graphs we make in excel" and use that...
Anyone got any clues/hints on how i could come up with this prediction model? Please ask if you need any of the graphs.
P.S. I used the polynomial of 6 for the graphing.
I did the graphing monthly, (Jan  December for a year) but I have literally 0 idea what to do, to get a "model" that predicts the cases for the upcoming monthsThanks for any help
0 
Good day to everyone reading this. Thanks for your time.
I've got this question here (more like an research assignment) which requires me to predict further values in a given set of values.
I've attached a picture for a better understanding.
The data is the cases of influenza in a country over the years.
There's values missing in from May onwards.
We have to use the previous set of data, come up with a "Prediction model" and use that to predict the values until end of 2019.
The thing is, our teacher is very incompetent, and only told us to use "polynomials from the graphs we make in excel" and use that...
Anyone got any clues/hints on how i could come up with this prediction model? Please ask if you need any of the graphs.
P.S. I used the polynomial of 6 for the graphing.
The graphing is done monthly, (Jan  December for a year)0
Predicting Further Values in a Set of Data
in Homework Help
Posted
We don't have to use polynomials. There's multiple ways my teacher tells me, but because this is a "problem  solving task" we're to think up of something of our own. Thanks for the tips, I'll definitely check out Runge's Phenomena and ARIMA.
Cheers!
This is "Maths Methods" In Australia which is the 2nd hardest subject for "Mathematics"
Currently Year 11
I'm using the polynomial of 6 because that's the highest available polynomial in excel.
I've plotted them and they're all very similar to each other.
I then got an average of all these data values and got an "Average Year". I'll be using the Equation from that "Average Year" graph as my Model. But is there anything else I can do to "Refine" it and make it even more accurate?